Earthquake Precursors Cause Far More Devastating Damage Cost than Earthquakes

Research Article

Austin J Earth Sci. 2022; 5(1): 1026.

Earthquake Precursors Cause Far More Devastating Damage Cost than Earthquakes

Prakash Pillai S* and Prakash Pillai A

PNT NDT Consultant, Tiruchi, Tamil Nadu, India

*Corresponding author: S Prakash Pillai, PNT NDT Consultant, Tiruchi, Tamil Nadu, India- 620101. Email:apaprakash@yahoo.co.in

Received: May 16, 2022; Accepted: June 14, 2022; Published: June 21, 2022

Abstract

Earthquake precursors and earthquake prediction not shrouded in mystery or Holy Grail. Seasonal and unseasonal weather hazards are due to the part of the generation process of earthquakes. Earthquake precursors are generated by the earthquake itself, but this vital basic scientific concept unable to understand by worldwide researchers.

Weather hazards are the earthquake precursors they are the combination of several weather phenomena like extreme heat, forest fire, cyclone, hurricane (Atlantic Cyclone), typhoons (Pacific Cyclone), tornadoes, storm surge, heavy rain for days, landslides, flood, cold waves, avalanches, melting of ice and breaking of ice continent but earthquakes are single phenomenon. Each weather hazards because damage cost in Billion USD and a single earthquake of M>7 also cause damage cost in Billion USD. However, the overall destruction and damage cost of weather hazards are in Trillion USD as earthquake precursors are much more damage cost than earthquakes.

‘’Richter did not advocate an opinion that earthquake prediction was inherently impossible.”

Keywords: Earthquake Precursors; Weather Hazards; Earthquakes; Damage Costs; Cyclone; Hurricane; Typhoon; Tornadoes; Snowfall; Iceberg Break; Forest Fire; Heatwaves

Introduction

This article is fifth in series of earthquake prediction method in Austin Journal of Environmental Sciences. In this paper discuss the comparisons of damage cost of earthquake precursor caused and earthquake caused. Before to compare, let us see what are the earthquake precursors? The generation process of natural weather hazards are the part of generation process of earthquakes. Weather hazards are in different forms, they are including, severe heat, forest fire, cyclone, typhoon, Hurricane, storm, tornadoes, rainfall, flood, lands slide, strong wind, thunderstorms, lightning, storm surge, snowfall, hailstorm, avalanches, snow melting, and breaking of ice shelf at Arctic and Antarctic regions. All these phenomena are related to atmospheric conditions that can be monitored and forecast.

How a gentle breeze not to be a precursor for Category 5 hurricane, so, the swarms of earthquakes or fore shocks not be precursor for main shocks. Earthquake precursors are same for all size of earthquakes say fore shocks, main shocks and aftershocks.

The common systematic relation between potential earthquake precursors and earthquakes are destructive and damaging nature. Precursor hazards began normally 15 days before impending earthquakes to occur. Every epicentre zone serves as cyclone genesis basin as well as seismogenic zones. Weather phenomena closely coupled with the generation process of seismic phenomena, in this way weather phenomena are the precursor for earthquakes.

For the past several decades wrong statements about earthquake precursors have been circulated by eminent experts in high impact factor journals. This same misconception followed in major earthquake research organizations and Universities worldwide. Earthquake precursors are inherent with the earthquake itself, for every earthquake more than one weather phenomenon advance 15 days before an impending individual or cluster of earthquakes. There are several advanced technologies available to observe and record the onshore weather phenomena as earthquake precursors.

The release of massive amount of frictional heat of the tectonic plates are playing a major role in accompanying with all types of weather hazards and also thinning of tectonic plates (generation process of weather anomalies) to breaking of tectonic plates (earthquakes). But the different forms of weather hazards, it depends on the location of the epicentre zone, say Icey continent or at equator or above or below to equator.

Methodology

The duration of earthquakes are few seconds to few minutes, whereas weather hazards last for over one or two weeks. Earthquakes are occurs confined to particular epicentre zones and for few km in radius, whereas weather hazard like cyclone/typhoon/ hurricane/ tornadoes travel thousands of miles away from its origin.

Till date in the USGS frequently asked question part, it is mentioned that reliable and diagnose earthquake precursors not found and earthquakes are unpredictable. Like that there are several misconceptions about reliable earthquake precursors and predictable nature of individual or population of earthquakes misguiding the researchers. The earthquake precursors are generated by the earthquakes itself. Researchers failed to understand and link the weather anomalies with earthquakes and also missed to record the same.

For earthquakes of M4-6 there would no major damage cost when compare to the earthquake precursors the weather hazards for this range, will generate severe heat waves, forest fires and cyclone cause damage. Even for earthquakes M<4 practically do not cause any significant damage to the lives and properties but cause regional severe heat wave condition around the particular epicentre zones.

Both atmospheric weather anomalies and earthquakes are origin wise strongly inter-related; both events are repeating every year at same place to the corresponding epicenter zones with respect to the position of the orbital motion of the earth. Without tectonic plate motion of the epicenter zones, there will be no generation of atmospheric weather anomalies and earthquakes. All form of atmospheric weather anomalies are the precursor to earthquakes. Most common weather anomalies are heat, rainfall associated with strong winds and widespread flood. Among the all form of weather anomalies rainfall or snowfall location best to identify the future earthquake location.

Result: Earthquake Weather Precursors and Followed by Earthquakes

Comparison of Earthquake Precursors (Natural Weather Hazard) Damage Cost with Earthquakes

The epicentres may be in Pacific west, Pacific East, North Atlantic, Antarctic, North India, South India, South Pacific Islands and others depending on their geological position, atmospheric weather are generated as seasonal variation. Tectonic plates frictional only associated with all weather anomalies from Arctic to Antarctic regions.

Heat Waves and Damage Cost

Productivity losses due to heat currently cost the U.S. an estimated $100 billion a year, the report claims. As days of extreme heat become more frequent in the years ahead, that figure is projected to double to $200 billion by 2030—around 0.5% of GDP.